Saturday, June 8, 2013

Evaluation of abenomics

Until the third arrow was published 出sorotta media outlets were three arrows, but elections
Of the remaining time left is low.
abenomics assessment is difficult, difficult as the voters:

Shall evaluate ago upper house elections.
Long ago, recalls learned in the training course for evaluation of active period.

(Remember exactly that might not have...)
(1)must based on which assessment results.
2 The conduct is against the fact.
(3) even one single fact assessment good or bad the result by But do not depend on the evaluation of different facts.
(Prevention of halo effect)
(4) absolute rating is ideal, comparative assessment will do.

(5) distinguish between ability and performance evaluation (bonus) (promoted).
Using this principle, tested the abenomics hard.
Evaluation of the past regime's possible when premature abenomics assessment is a
Results are not out yet, it's difficult to evaluate.
But if the election must vote.
Many voters believe Prime Minister to replace year after year is not good.
However, movement to try to improve, identify the reasons and would not be found.
From how to assess not shown why maybe maybe.

I don't think evaluators (their electorate) education is necessary and politics only neglect.
And, because complaining about no use of assessing abenomics in your own way
Depreciation of the yen does not necessarily created by someone, several factors is a chemical reaction
I think caused the results.
The depreciation of the yen is showing exporters's performance mainly as fact
Japan's balance of trade is depreciation are taken internationally are deficits I think theory because it is right.
Balance of trade surpluses were
Would have disapproved internationally weak yen.
Be Exchange guided policy trade balance impossible in the era of surpluses. Abe administration is lucky in that aspect.
Statistics came out
It's recent.
Evaluated result good lucky it was a performance appraisal No abilities were evaluated.
(5 And 3 above)

Can raise achievements of others you might like is and is not.
Fukushima plant would be triggering causes trade surplus became a deficit,
Was under pressure need to import thermal power plant fuel mass that is greater.
"The wind profitable bucket shop" is no longer a Fukushima nuclear power plant accident
I think trade rapidly toward the deficit is a big factor.
That is, induced weak yen also not blame international circumstances is Fukushima
By I think was invented.
Over two years have passed from Fukushima, this situation changes I feel
About, turned the rudder to the depreciation policies to attract leaders are going forward.
May thus be evaluated.
To evaluate too early in season.
The reason is to control the inflation no one yet

From cannot prove it.
Depreciation in net external assets at the end of last year 296000000000000 ¥ and up 11.6%
Was reported in the Nihon Keizai Shimbun of the 5/28 much more huge than it
The value has fallen significantly by the depreciation of the yen total value of personal property Remember that is.
In other words, assets throughout the country decreased in depreciation Because that is a mistake please.
Personal assets are declining also enormous national
It calls for a debt be reduced decline in the value of money
Once you have ridiculous.
Notable tendency of long-term interest rates rose and bond prices have fallen
Is a point, be out of focus why mass media coverage.
So may not understand many voters.
Is that evaluates variously the Abe administration is doing well,
(3 Above) to go from one rating is good and as noted That is a mistake better than another review.
Here in past elections voters
A common cause of failure.
Either way each year the is frequently Prime Minister they took turns Can be evaluated, such as;
Evaluation means to evaluate period But at least three or four years should be.
So once you have this

I think as long as the politics of Japan does not improve.
Is a "similar to rest a bad idea", voters were left
Think period, shall vote.
Is the worst election system is not it's related mechanism Of so, so so.